The European Commission’s new online dispute resolution (ODR) platform goes online for traders and consumers on 15 February 2016.

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The changes in mail volume, product and service mix that we have experienced over the past decade are heralding the digital service environment in which we will all find ourselves in the near future.

Countries like Denmark, whose governments have actively fostered direct and integrated means of secured electronic communication to raise the efficiency of business and citizen-focused interactions, are seeing the end of analogue transactional or consequential letter mail. The boundaries between the means of production, regions, and labor forces are all dissolving. Cross-border commercial letter post, packet and parcel volumes are growing. South-East Asia and South America are regions experiencing major growth in ecommerce. North America and Europe, although currently still ahead, will fall behind.

Global ecommerce spend in 2015

Proprietary systems are unsustainable

Digitalization is breaking down current delivery value chains into their constituent – and exchangeable – parts. This directly impacts cost and business models.

In the not too distant past, proprietary systems which were safeguarded by monopolies, secured by regulated tariffs, and guaranteed daily delivery, were needed to maintain a certain level of communication and the exchange of goods, both nationwide and globally. However, these times are gone. Manufacturing and the trade in consumables has created a global, digital service infrastructure.

The communication media needed to exchange information and facilitate trade and its related transportation infrastructure will be based on commonly established standards based on marginal cost. The proprietary systems which once safeguarded the postal administrations are turning into a burden.

In order to meet the needs and expectations of individual recipients/consumer, manufacturing, retail and commerce are all actively extending the reach of their open digital service infrastructure beyond supply chain management, to include last-mile delivery functionalities within a multi-stakeholder, partial-pipeline environment.

So who will be the largest delivery network, not owning a single delivery van?

Enterprises who place their focus squarely on the recipient strive to make the customer an integral part of their business model, by applying state-of-the-art communications to leverage on their existing infrastructure, minimizing their own costs and boosting customer-retention (e.g. Amazon Prime).

As the focus shifts to the end consumer/recipient, existing borders start to become blurred – between work and leisure time activities, the customer’s role as a consumer or producer of goods, service or content.

Delivery is an integrational component of digital service infrastructure

In this new digital world, delivery is still the integrational component of service deployment. Quality, speed, transparency of service levels and convenience are the factors which determine the success of any business transaction.

The infrastructure and systems needed to fulfil the demand created by the digital service infrastructure is not being driven by politics and legislation. Instead it is ecosystem-like multinationals such as Uber and Alibaba who are busy creating consolidation platforms to facilitate interaction and trade which are reflecting and shaping the demand for delivery.

•The demand for quality leads to measurable performance and customer service being at the heart of the business model.

• The demand for speed leads to customer retention via same-day or even immediate delivery options, financed via a flat fee model.

•The demand for transparency leads beyond traceability to proactive messaging and real-time adjustments according to the preferences of the recipient.

• The demand for convenience leads to easy-to-use return solutions, scheduled drop-off and alternative delivery options, pick-up and recycling options.

Recipient-focused first and last mile demand consolidated by multinational platforms is eliminating today’s product and service silos. In tomorrow’s postal business model, the distinction between “Courier”, “Express” and “Postal” becomes irrelevant.

The seamless cross-border solutions in tomorrow’s postal business model are based on electronic advanced data (EAD)

And what’s even more threatening for traditional postal operators – and everyone failing to turn their postal business model around by 180° – is that the seamless cross-border solutions not offered by today’s delivery providers will be substituted by the platforms themselves who, thanks to their customer-centric business models and use of electronic advanced data, can engage with any available delivery infrastructure on an ad hoc basis.

The 26th UPU Congress in Istanbul 2016 will decide if, by involving a broader range of postal sector players in the existing global UPU network, it will be possible to secure lasting development and the future success of efficient, universally accessible, high quality postal services at marginal cost, in order to facilitate communication and sustainable delivery between the world’s citizens.

In a global digital market, it is the global citizens, and commerce initiated via a globally accessible, digital service infrastructure, which will determine the shape of tomorrow’s open and integrated postal business model.

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